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Strength outlooks for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
(American Meteorological Society, 2019-02)
Three strategies for creating probabilistic forecast outlooks for El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are compared. One is subjective and is currently used by the NOAA/Climate Prediction Center (CPC) to produce official ...
Acceso abierto
Increased variability of eastern Pacific El Niño under greenhouse warming
(Nature Publishing Group, 2018-12)
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant and most consequential climate variation on Earth, and is characterized by warming of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) during the El Niño phase and ...
Acceso cerrado
Editorial : Tropical Climate Variability and Change: Impacts in the Amazon
(Frontiers in Earth Science, 2019-08-26)
Vast amounts of data from satellites and ground-based systems, and improvements on modeling techniques, allows a better understanding of Earth processes and advances on climate science. The tropics play a key role on global ...
Spatio-temporal patterns of thermal anomalies and drought over tropical forests driven by recent extreme climatic anomalies
(The Royal Society, 2018-08-23)
The recent 2015– 2016 El Niño (EN) event was considered as strong as the EN in 1997–1998. Given such magnitude, it was expected to result in extreme warming and moisture anomalies in tropical areas. Here we characterize ...
Climatology of extreme cold events in the central Peruvian Andes during austral summer: origin, types and teleconnections
(Royal Meteorological Society, 2018-08-30)
The climatological and large‐scale characteristics of the extreme cold events (ECEs) in the central Peruvian Andes (Mantaro basin (MB)) during austral summer (January–March) are examined using reanalysis, gridded and in ...
Acceso abierto
The 2017 coastal El Niño
(American Meteorological Society, 2018-08)
The original concept of El Niño consisted of anomalously high sea surface temperature and heavy rainfall along the arid
northern coast of Peru (Carranza 1891; Carrillo 1893). The concept evolved into the El Niño–Southern ...
Acceso abierto
The role of ENSO flavours and TNA on recent droughts over Amazon forests and the Northeast Brazil region
(Royal Meteorological Society, 2019-12-27)
Amazon tropical forests and the semiarid Northeast Brazil (NEB) region have registered very severe droughts during the last two decades, with a frequency that may have exceeded natural climate variability. Severe droughts ...
Acceso restringido
Tropical Pacific observing system
(Frontiers in Earth Science, 2019-02-18)
This paper reviews the design of the Tropical Pacific Observing System (TPOS) and its governance and takes a forward look at prospective change. The initial findings of the TPOS 2020 Project embrace new strategic approaches ...
Ocean climate observing requirements in support of climate research and climate information
(Frontiers in Earth Science, 2019-07-31)
Natural variability and change of the Earth’s climate have significant global societal impacts. With its large heat and carbon capacity and relatively slow dynamics, the ocean plays an integral role in climate, and provides ...
Rainfall hotspots over the southern tropical Andes: Spatial distribution, rainfall intensity, and relations with large-scale atmospheric circulation
(American Geophysical Union, 2015-05-11)
The Andes/Amazon transition is among the rainiest regions of the world and the interactionsbetween large-scale circulation and the topography that determine its complex rainfall distribution remainpoorly known. This work ...
Acceso abierto