• A new climate and glacier baseline for the Cordillera Vilcanota, Peru, reduces critical information gaps 

      Salzmann, Nadine; Huggel, Christian; Rohrer, Mario; Silverio, Walter; G. Mark, Bryan; Cochachin, Alejo; Suarez, Wilson

      (American Geophysical Union, 2013)
      Acceso abierto
      The Cordillera Vilcanota in the Southern Peruvian Andes is the second largest ice-covered Cordillera in Peru (after the Cordillera Blanca) and serves for the Cusco Region as a temporary water storage for fresh-water and ...
    • An enhanced downscaling methodology for the elaboration of high-resolution climate scenarios for Peru to 2050 

      Acuña, Delia; Llacza Rodríguez, Alan; Sulca, Sheylla; De la Cruz, Gustavo; Paredes, Jonathan; Jácome Vergaray, Gerardo

      (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, 2022-06)
      Acceso abierto
      This study aims to describe a downscaling method for the generation of high-resolution climate scenarios for Peru using data from Global Circulation Models (GCM). The approach is based on the combination of dynamical ...
    • Assessment of climate Change impact on water supply in Peru 

      Lavado-Casimiro, W.

      (Asociación Internacional de Ciencias Hidrológicas, 2022-09)
      Acceso abierto
      In this work, the simulation of the water supply has been carried out using the SWAT hydrological model to generate streamflows throughout Peru. For this purpose, 35 hydrological stations distributed in the 3 drainages of ...
    • Climate change impacts on biomes and aridity in Peru 

      Zevallos Ruiz, Jose Augusto; Huerta, Adrian; Lavado-Casimiro, W.; Sabino Rojas, Evelin; Vega-Jácome, Fiorella; Felipe-Obando, Oscar

      (European Geosciences Union, 2020-06-12)
      Acceso abierto
      The preliminary results showed that random forest worked best for the PB imbalanced data, having a 0.84 weighted average in precision and recall metric. The model reproduces 9 of the PB with low error 4.5% and overestimates ...
    • Dynamic regionalization over Peru: HadGEM2-ES / WRF 

      Llacza Rodríguez, Alan; Jácome Vergaray, Gerardo

      (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, 2008)
      Acceso abierto
      The present work has as objective the elaboration of a new gridded data base to 16 km, for the analysis of the changes of the future climate on Peru, mainly in the variables of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature. ...
    • Experiencias del seminario internacional: impactos potenciales del cambio climático en embalses (presas), canales y estrategias de adaptación en América Latina 

      Sulca, Sheylla

      (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, 2022-06-19)
      Acceso abierto
      Comparte la experiencia del intercambio de conocimiento entre expertos en temas relacionados al clima, agua y gestión de riesgo. Por ello, la presentación aborda los cambios en la temperatura global de superficie en ...
    • Present and future water security under socioeconomic and climate changes in the Vilcanota-Urubamba basin 

      Goyburo, Andres; Rau, Pedro; Lavado-Casimiro, W.; Drenkhan, Fabian; Buytaert, W.

      (European Geosciences Union, 2020)
      Acceso abierto
      This research assesses present (2009-2016) and future (until 2100) levels of water security taking into consideration socioeconomic and climate change scenarios using the WEAP (Water Evaluation and Planning) tool for ...
    • Quantifying the controls of Peruvian glacier response to climate 

      Fyffe, Catriona L.; Potter, Emily; Fugger, S.; Orr, Andrew; Fatichi, Simone; Medina, Katy; Hellström, Robert Å.; Shaw, Thomas E.; Bernat, Maud; Llacza Rodríguez, Alan; Jácome Vergaray, Gerardo; Aubry-Wake, Caroline; Gurgiser, Wolfgang; Perry, L. Baker; Suarez, Wilson; Quincey, Duncan J.; Loarte, Edwin; Pellicciotti, Francesca

      (American Geophysical Union, 2021-04)
      Acceso abierto
      Peruvian glaciers are important contributors to dry season runoff for agriculture and hydropower, but they are at risk of disappearing due to climate warming. Their energy balance and ablation characteristics have previously ...
    • RAHU Project: Assessing water security and climate change adaptation strategies in the glaciated Vilcanota-Urubamba river basin 

      Rau, Pedro; Buytaert, W.; Drenkhan, Fabian; Lavado-Casimiro, W.; Jimenez, Juan C.; Montoya, Nilton; Bonnesoeur, Vivien; Valdivia, Gustavo; Cachay, Walescka; Goyburo, Andres; Risco Sence, Eber; Abad, Jorge; Mackay, Jon; Hannah, David; Barrand, Nicholas; Siegert, Martin; Macera, Briggitte; Bueno, Marcelo; Baca, Carlos; Gianella, Cecilia

      (European Geosciences Union, 2020)
      Acceso abierto
      The Peruvian Andes are a hotspot of vulnerabilities to impacts in water resources due to the propensity for water stress, the highly unpredictable weather, the sensitivity of glaciers, and the socio-economic vulnerability ...
    • Sequía en las cuencas Amazónicas del Perú: el rol del cambio climático y el uso del suelo 

      Endara Huanca, Sofía Marisol

      (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, 2023)
      Acceso abierto
      La presentación se enfoca en brindar la definición, característica, metodología sobre la sequía y resultados refieren al análisis interdecadal, análisis estacional, a la escala mensual, asimismo, sostiene que el hallazgo ...
    • Studying spatial agreement of catchment response to climate and landuse change under uncertainty for prioritizing investment into hydropower catchments 

      Ding, Zhaowei; Angarita, Hector; Montesinos Cáceres, Cristian Albert; Lavado-Casimiro, W.

      (European Geosciences Union, 2022-04)
      Acceso abierto
      Joint climate and land cover change can significantly alter catchment hydrologic response, e.g., in terms of runoff and sediment delivery, and thus key determinants for downstream hydropower outcomes. While many studies ...
    • Surface energy and mass balance modeling of a Peruvian tropical glacier 

      Torres, C.; Arigony, J.; Arndt, A.; Tobias, S.; Gurgiser, W.; Suarez, Wilson; Santillan, N.; Maier, É.

      (American Geophysical Union, 2019-12)
      Acceso abierto
      Glaciers in Peruvian Andes play an important role for local hydrology. To quantify the availability of glacier meltwater in a climate change scenario, surface energy (SEB) and mass balance (MB) models are required. However, ...
    • The vulnerability of water availability in Peru due to climate change: A probabilistic Budyko analysis 

      Huerta, Adrian; Lavado-Casimiro, W.; Rau, Pedro

      (European Geosciences Union, 2020)
      Acceso abierto
      This study provides for the-first-time a water availability analysis at drainage and basin-scale in Peru. Using new gridded datasets of precipitation and temperature, along with six global actual evapotranspiration estimations ...
    • Validation of CMIP5 models by means of representing pattterns of mesoscale systems on South America for the summer and Winter 

      Barreto Schuler, Christian; Llacza Rodríguez, Alan

      (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, 2014)
      Acceso abierto
      The climate model developers have conducted a new series of climate modeling experiments, which are part of the Couple Models Intercomparison Phase 5 (CMIP5). These show us a new generation of Atmosphere-Ocean couple models, ...